BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Dakota St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 1 Overall: (12-1) Overall Strength = 161.23
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (8-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (12-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away W * 162.87 38 0 1B 69 ( 4- 8) The Citadel 1.48 * 15.20 36.52
2 09/06/2025 Away W * 166.15 59 3 1B 111 ( 2-10) Tennessee St 4.76 * 31.09 51.24
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 147.03 41 14 1B 78 ( 4- 8) SE Missouri St -14.36 * 47.76 41.36
4 09/27/2025 Home W * * 175.05 51 13 1B 18 (10- 5) South Dakota 13.66 17.79 24.34
5 10/04/2025 Away W * * 162.65 33 16 1B 6 (12- 5) Illinois St 1.26 36.05 15.74
6 10/11/2025 Home W * * 169.14 45 17 1B 8 ( 7- 5) Southern Illinois 7.75 8.52 20.25
7 10/18/2025 Away W * * 155.96 38 7 1B 63 ( 3- 9) Indiana St -5.43 * 35.90 36.43
8 10/25/2025 Away W * * 176.87 38 7 1B 7 ( 9- 5) South Dakota St 15.48 5.22 15.52
9 11/01/2025 Home W * * 146.94 38 30 1B 12 ( 8- 5) Youngstown St -14.45 32.44 22.45
10 11/08/2025 Away W * * 157.23 15 10 1B 4 ( 8- 6) North Dakota -4.16 5.97 9.16
11 11/15/2025 Home W * * 157.81 48 16 1B 43 ( 3- 9) Northern Iowa -3.58 * 38.71 35.58
12 11/22/2025 Home W * 179.62 62 7 1B 48 ( 7- 5) St Thomas MN 18.23 * 35.88 36.77
13 12/06/2025 Home L * * 140.75 28 29 1B 6 (12- 5) Illinois St -20.64 25.84 19.64
Averages 161.39 41.1 13.0
Best game: 179.62 = 55 point win over St Thomas MN
Worst game: 140.75 = 1 point loss to Illinois St
Team stdev: 12.06